Halloween Forecast
Good Thursday morning,
Scary conditions to he south of us, but fine weather in SB.
No changes in yesterday’s forecast. SB will stay warm in the mid 70s and chilly at night. Valleys will get to the freezing tonight.
For the fire areas and Santa Ana winds, one more day of winds. Starting out winds are a little less then yesterday. Winds will begin to calm tonight.
Hang in here, one more day before the Santa Ana’s are gone for at least 7 to 10 days.
Jack Martin
10/30/19
Good Wednesday morning,
Not much to say today. The forecast is really the same as Tuesday. Winds to the south have not kicked up yet, but they are on the way.
Highest gusts reported at this point is 55 miles an hour. The biggest winds will be from 6 am to 6 pm tonight.
60 to 70 miles an hour are possible in foothills and mountains. Ventura will get pretty good winds today.
Looks like halloween 🎃 night will be light breeze only, but quite cool. Dress he kids warm.
The weekend is going to be nice, but cooler. Friday will be the coolest day of the week and in the next 7 days.
Hang in there today. The winds are coming for all the folks to the south of LA.
Santa Barbara, you have no wind, only cooler mornings and highs around 70.
Nice fall weather here …
Jack Martin
10/29/19
Good Tuesday morning,
Once again all the Action is about the Santa Ana wind event to the south.
Ventura to LA.
Santa Barbara will not be affected and we will have sunshine cooler days in the low 70s with chilly nights in the upper 40s.
There is a freeze warning for santa Ynez and Ojai Thursday night.
Now for the Action areas:
It is going to be another wild 36 hour period starting late today. Another Santa Ana wind event will occur Tuesday night into Thursday morning.
Cold air is going to bring crazy winds. Mountain gusts might even make 80 mile an hour. Local foothills and mountains 60 to 70 miles an hour gusts.
It will be very dangerous and many people will have there power shut off.
If you live in those affected areas, you might want to come north to Santa Barbara and watch The craziness on TV.
The good news is Thursday night, (Halloween) will have calm winds.
Even better, no more Santa Ana wind events are in the forecast for the next 10 days after this one goes through.
Friday through the weekend is also looking nice and calm for all.
Hang in there.
Jack Martin
10/28/19
By Jack Martin on Oct 28, 2019 at 05:20 PM
Good Monday morning,
Here we go again. The forecast is all about the wind.
If you live in SB you have just a calm cooler week with temps all week in the low to mid 70s.
If you live in Santa Ana wind country, you are feeling it right now.
Wind is blowing 30 to 40 miles an hour, with a gust of 73 reports in the mountains.
A cold low pressure system is moving through right now. You can see and feel what happens when cold air meets warm. It creates the wind you are seeing now.
Wind will blow through Monday, then taper off tonight.
Tuesday we transition back to onshore flow for 1 day. Tuesday night and Wednesday, look out. We will see the strongest Santa Ana wind event of the season.
50 to 70 mile an hour winds. This will blow through Wednesday, before it begins to taper off on Thursday.
The only good news is the wind. It will stop for Halloween night, which is Thursday if you did not know.
Looks like the weekend will be nice with pleasant weather for all in the 70s.
Of course we will see high fire danger in all of the Santa Ana wind prone areas.
You do not need to feel alone, San Francisco areas is also blowing away right now.
SCE and PGE will be having a busy week switching power on and off for those in the wind ….
Look at these numbers of home that may be affected from the power shut offs.
http://origin.sce.com/safety/wildfire/psps
…Wow…
Have a good week….
10/27/19
Good Sunday morning,
The start of a new week is going to bring us dramatic changes in temps for the week.
https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-119.691002368927&lat=34.42277053587111#.XbWRwC9lDxz
We will go from triple digits to the low 70s and even some 60s, as cold air marches in from Idaho.
This morning, winds are calm and you can feel the moisture in the air as off shore changes to on shore flow. Today will give us highs in the low 70s.
Tonight as the cold low rolls in, so will the winds. Another moderate Santa Ana wind event will show up and last till Monday afternoon. This will be cold, so no real rise in temps will occur.
Tuesday back to onshore low and a nice cool day.
Wednesday and Thursday, here comes another low pressure system bringing back the wind. This will be a stronger Santa Ana Wednesday and Thursday.
Halloween night looks to be calm, with no wind and cool temps. Perfect weather for the kids out collecting candy.
Friday through the weekend looks to be pleasant with temps in the upper 60s and low 70s.
Enjoy your Sunday!
https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-119.691002368927&lat=34.42277053587111#.XbWRwC9lDxz
10/26/19
Good Saturday morning,
It has been a wild week between fires, crashes, heat and wind.
The good news is the weekend is here and we will have cooler and less wind.
Today the winds in the south are calmer and temps will be reasonable in the upper 70s to low 80s.
Flow turns onshore this afternoon and we might even see some fog Sunday morning.
Sunday afternoon we welcome another santa ana event with cold air rushing in. Sunday will be quite a bit cooler with highs in the low 70s.
Sunday night and Monday looks like wind in Ventura and south. This is a cold system, so the heat will not be like it was this week.
Looks like good weather Tuesday and Wednesday then another Santa Ana event late in the week.
https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-119.691002368927&lat=34.42277053587111#.XbRTRy9lDxy
Enjoy he break this weekend.
10/25/19
Good Friday morning,
What wild weather we are having. Santa Barbara hit 99 degrees yesterday.
But the wildness was to the south where winds were blowing 30 to 40 miles and hour with mountain gusts in the 50s.
Today the Santa Ana winds are continuing where they left off on Thursday.
This will bring another day of high fire danger and winds. The good news is later this afternoon, the winds will begin to back off.
Today will not be as hot as yesterday, but upper 80s and low 90s are likely.
Saturday will still be warm, but temps will begin to back off.
Sunday on shore flow returns and we cool off into the 70s and low 80s.
As cold low pressure system moves in.
Looks like next week we will have another Santa Ana wind event, but cold air will keep us in the 70s and low 80s.
Extended forecast is not totally clear, but we should be cool and dry through next weekend.
Hang in there if you have the winds, you are almost through it.
SB, just another hot October day at around 90 degrees.
Enjoy your weekend.
https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-119.691002368927&lat=34.42277053587111#.XbL1CS9lDxx
10/24/19
Good Thursday morning,
The next few days is all about the heat and the wind to the south of us through Friday.
This may seem like a broken record, but it is that time of year for Santa Ana winds.
Winds will pick up this morning in Ventura and all Santa Ana wind prone areas. This will lead to a high fire danger, as we have a fire in San Bernardino reported this morning.
There will also be some power outages to the south of our area. Here are the areas that are in question:
https://www.sce.com/safety/wildfire/psps
As far as the heat goes, the next 2 days we will be back to hot. Looks like 90s for all again this week. Even some triple digits.
Saturday, the wind will begin to calm and temps cool some on Sunday. The bad news is we are looking at another event next week.
Winds will be in the 30 to 40 mile an hour speeds, with gusts 50 plus miles an hour.
Santa Barbara, no wind just hot weather.
10/23/19 Tuesday
Good Wednesday morning,
Is the heat getting to you? My goodness it was hot yesterday.
For hump day we will get a little break. Highs will be in the 80s with a few 90s.
Better than the 90s and 100s . Also the winds will tale off for the day.
Santa Ana wind prone areas will still have mild winds, but we take the wild off the table until Thursday.
For Santa Barbara, a summer heat wave continues. Calm winds the rest of the week and temps in the 80s through Saturday.
Sunday begins a cool down into The 70s.
https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?x=259&y=130&site=lox&zmx=&zmy=&map
Ventura, and points south. Enjoy today, because mild turns to wild on Thursday as another strong Santa Ana blows through.
Wind warnings are likely in areas for Thursday and Friday before they begin to calm. Highs will increase for you because of the winds compressing the air. This next event does not have a lot of cold air support, so that will help the wind speeds, but increase temps. Gusts regardless will be in at least the 50s for all of us.
The days are getting shorter and low pressure systems are beginning to drop further south.
This all means rain will be here soon. Not likely next week, but generally speaking we always see our first rain around Halloween.
That is next Friday.
Long range models are a shot in the dark, but history tells me we will see something wet by the first few weeks in November.
In the meantime, enjoy a calmer Wednesday then bunker down areas Ventura and south for another windy ride with high fire danger.
Once again, you are up to date on the weather front.
Look at the Boathouse Tuesday night, so nice, but packed with people.
10/22/19 Heatwave
Good Tuesday morning,
Monday was quite hot. High in Santa Barbara of 91 degrees. Today we should even be hotter. 90s and some locations seeing us top triple digits.
Yes welcome to the Santa Ana season.
I think Johnny Carson said it best. People say Southern California does not have 4 seasons.
Well they are wrong, we have fire, flood, wind and rainy season.
We are in the wind season. At least Ventura and to the south. There will be one more day of a moderate Santa Ana event, with winds and a high fire danger.
If you watched the news you saw some wind driven fires pop up in many southern locations.
Those areas will have one more day of this before a brief break for a day.
For us, all the wind has shifted south. We are just left with the heat.
https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-119.66902971267702&lat=34.42503613021336#.Xa7tBy9lDxz
Wednesday, we will calm and cool a bit, as the wind dies down for a day.
It will still be hot, but SB will be in the 80s and LA in the low 90s.
Moving into Thursday, a moderate to strong Santa Ana wind event starts up again.
This is going to raise temps and the fire danger to all our friends to the south of us.
Strong Santa Ana event will be through Friday, then Saturday we will cool off and winds calm.
Next week is looking like a low drops south. Inside slider…. means no rain, just more wind …..
Hang in there, we will get through the heat and wind.
Rain is coming, just not here yet.
10/21/19
Good Monday morning,
It was a great summer like weekend and summer like conditions are going to continue all week. We are looking at 80s and 90s everywhere.
The winds have been manageable along the coast, but the Montecito hills are still seeing 50 mile an hour wind through mid morning.
Winds are going to shift to Ventura and south as we set up for northeast winds and a Santa Ana event.
Looks like the first wave Monday and Tuesday will be mild, but a stronger wind event might take over Thursday and Friday.
The weekend does look to cool down some as a low passes thought.
In a nut shell look for summer weather all week long with hot temps and mild evenings.
We will all be able to use all our patios and decks all week long for dinner and star gazing .
Have a great week.
https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-119.66902971267702&lat=34.42503613021336#.Xa2kay9lDxw
10/20/19
Good Sunday morning,
The light of day is arriving now. If you walk outside you will find it to be quite warm, with a light breeze. Santa Barbara is 70 degrees thanks to the north winds.
https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-119.68807971663772&lat=34.43092636742064#.XaxmQOhKhEY
Today will be a sunny warm day with a high in the mid 80s.
Winds will shift to the south today, as a Santa Ana event begins in ventura and south.
This will set up warm weather through mid week.
Just summer like weather in October 20, 2019.
Enjoy.
10/19/19
Good Saturday morning,
Lots of clear skies out there today. As a matter of fact, we are looking at the same conditions through next week.
The story is once again about the wind. A system to the north is pushing into the Great Basin and this will create wind once again.
https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/nepac/h5-loop-wv.html
Looks like the target area is the Montecito hills with a wind gust of 71 miles an hour at 1am. Most winds have been 40 to 50 mile gusts.
Today the winds will calm some, but pick up again later in the day. 40 to 50 mile an hour gusts are likely in the mountains.
Everyone should feel them, but Montecito hills the most. As far as electric outages, the only places that should be affected is the mountain areas.
Wind will shift to ventura on Sunday. We will begin a Santa Ana event which will warm us up into the 90s in the valleys for the first half of the week.
Thursday and Friday, we should see some cooling but still nice.
All in all, a good weekend along the coast. Just some pretty good winds in the hills.
Enjoy the weekend.
10/18/19
Happy Friday,
Windy Thursday night sparked one fire. It made for a rough commute to santa Ynez and north homes.
I watch the trail of headlights and break lights climbing the pass from my house. I am glad I was watching and not in it.
Winds should die down today and through Saturday, but Saturday night they are back for another round into Sunday morning.
Winds will then change to the south as a Santa Ana event begins. This will heat us up with temps in areas rising into the 90s through Wednesday.
The weekend will be at normal with 70s everywhere ….
For all of you wondering about power shut offs due to fire, here is the website to bookmark.
After opening scroll to your county and click on your location, an always changing map will pop up.
http://www.sce.com/safety/wildfire/psps
Note: power outages are really in the hills, we should not be affected if you live in the cities.
Last night I did look on the upper part of the pass and it looked like painted cave and areas around were dark, likely due to the power outage.
If you want to get in control of outages…. add solar with a back up battery system.
Call Kirk at Action Energy. Cell 805-896-3776 He will set you up, so your lights glow, when others see darkness 👍
https://www.actionenergysb.com/santabarbarasolar
10/17/19
Good Thursday morning,
Another week flying by. Speaking of flying, the start of the wind event will begin today and last throughout the weekend.
Winds will not be too crazy, but mountain areas will reach gusts of 50 miles an hour.
https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-119.58755493164062&lat=34.45618182558265#.XahqFcplDxw
Today will be a cool day as low pressure has taken over. Winds will also pick up this afternoon and northwest winds will be around tonight.
Friday winds continue, but should shift to the northeast.
Saturday night, another stronger wind event in the evening, it’s looking like Montecito should see the worst of the winds.
Temps overall will be mild with highs in the 70s. Nights will be cooler especially in the valleys.
Next week it looks like a warm up will begin with some valley locations getting into the 80s and 90s.
Enjoy the wind, better lower those umbrellas.
10/16/19
Good Wednesday morning,
Today will be a transition day. Overall a nice day, with temps a few degrees above normal.
Tonight some high clouds will pass over us as a low pressure front washes over us. This will bring some wind to mainly gaviota and north Goleta.
Weather should be pleasant at the Bowl for Jimmy Buffett.
Thursday and through the weekend, it is all about wind.
Winds will be northwest and northeast at different times. Looks like Montecito hilsl will have the biggest target on there backs.
The strongest winds will likely be Saturday night, but winds will be from Thursday through the weekend.
Location will change as the winds shift from NW to NE
Ventura will see these also all the way to LA.
Temps will remain around normal with a few degrees above today and a few degrees below as low pressure passes.
Generally in the 70s, with cooler nights.
This shows the Montecito hills graphic:
We will see what SCE says about the upcoming event. Some areas will likely be shut down for what they call public safety ….
Have a great day.
10/15/19
Good Tuesday morning,
There is not a lot to say about the weather this week, we will have warming the next 2 days, then cooling the next 2. The weekend looks to be nice.
There will be some winds at times, sundowner and Santa Ana, but nothing that will be like last weeks event.
Wednesday night and Thursday we will see some high clouds as a weak system to the north washes over us.
Since the weather is Dull this week, I thought I would share this story.
Pretty interesting to know where one of the most used lubricants was actually invented in 1953.
WD40 Water displacement on the 40th formula.
Now a household name and back in the day it was for space ships …..
check this site out:
Have a great day, you learn a little more than weather here….
10/14/19
Happy Columbus Day,
Not sure who really celebrates this holiday, but for those who have the day off good for you.
Not I. It will be a perfect working day. Temps will rise into the low 70s keeping everyone cooler today.
Tuesday, high pressure ramps up providing a warm up through Wednesday. Maybe a few weak sundowner winds Tuesday evening, but on the weaker side.
Thursday we shift back to low pressure. Looks like we could see some sundowner winds in SB Thursday night or Friday. Wind will flip from northwest to northeast on the weekend.
No real excitement in the weather front this week. Just nice weather with highs in the 70s all week . Lows should remain in the 50s along the coast and 40s in the valleys.
Have a great week, see you at the bowl Wednesday night for Jimmy Buffet!
10/13/19
Good Sunday morning,
If you look outside right now to the west, you will see the full moon setting.
Since the wind to the south is gone, they can recover from the mess in the yards and decks. The good news is the fires were minimal.
Today will be sunny and cooler. Highs in the low 70s along the coast and low 80s inland.
https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-119.66720581054686&lat=34.43183254485123#.XaMXqsplCfD
Aa a matter of fact, this will be the case all week. We will see high pressure build and breakdown a few times.
Today through Monday, it is low pressure with the marine layer returning on Monday.
Tuesday, a weak high rolls in through Wednesday. Temp in the valleys will jump to the mid 80s.
Thursday, low pressure tools in again. With this one, we are expecting the winds to shift over Santa Barbara, Goleta and Gaviota as we get a sundowner wind event from the Northwest.
The weekend of next is looking warmer as high pressure builds back in.
Needless to say, the change of seasons is beginning. We are starting to see mountain snows in the northwest and systems just beginning to drop a little further to the south.
Have a great Sunday!
10/11/19
Good Friday morning for some, if the wind is not part of your morning coffee.
Here is SB, it is calm and no real wind to speak of.
If you roll 40 miles to the south it is a whole other story. There
will be one more day of high winds at Ventura and south. You can see the red on the map.
Winds will peak again today at 55 to 65 miles an hour in the mountains. This has created some fires in Ventura and the 210 freeway over night. It will be a tough day for firefighters in those areas.
It does appear the winds will begin to back down later in the afternoon. Today will also be noticeably warmer, because all the cold air from the north has worked its way through. Some areas will likely see 90s today.
For the weekend, the winds calm down and we will have a warm weekend for all.
Monday, a weak system rolls in and lowers the temps to start the week.
To my friend down south, hang in there today. The winds have 12 more hours to give you trouble …then you can enjoy the weekend.
10/10/19
Good Thursday morning,
Are you ready for the wind. This is a northeast wind event. SB and Ojai will not be affected, but if you live in Ventura to Santa Monica you are feeling the winds already.
Winds starting to pick up around 2am in Ventura south. This will blow the marine layer away and into SB. Looks like SB will see some fog until late morning.
For the wind, it is going to be a strong event. Winds gusts in the mountains 60 to 75 miles an hour. Valleys 50 to 60 miles and hour, coastal 30 to 40.
This event will take place from now to mid afternoon on Friday.
This is a cold system, so normal compression of winds will not heat the air much . A matter of fact, where there is no wind, the air temp over night will be in the 20s and 30s.
This of course will bring us a high fire danger for all. Winds and dry air can spell trouble.
Also the new power outages will be a nightmare for some. Northern California had this yesterday and there are many unhappy customers.
I heard a PGE truck got shot at and was egged yesterday “this is the ramifications of lawsuits I guess“ someone always has to pay.
For us, we will watch and see how the winds affect southern areas for the next 36 hours.
Johnny make sure your roofs are bunkered down …..
Saturday and through the weekend then into next week we will go back to seasonable weather and no excitement from the skies at least.
Hang in there, if it gets too crazy, come to SB where we will have nice calm weather.
Here is a link to SCE which will show you the areas that may have outages, scroll down to Ventura and you will see most areas that may affect our neighbors to the south.
https://www.scemaintenance.com/content/sce-maintenance/en/psps.html
10/09/19
Good Thursday morning,
Are you ready for power outages???…. not in SB, but Ventura to Santa Clarita, also Northern California. They are talking about 650,000 customers will be affected by this wind event starting here Thursday and Northern California today.
Today, that cold Canadian low has pushed further south and will give us a cooler day.
Tonight the winds will begin to turn off shore, this should clear out any fog that will drift in tonight.
Now Thursday….. we are going to now see a strong Santa Ana event.
Winds Ventura and south and east will blow 30 to 40 miles an hour with gusts to 50 miles an hour. In the mountains they will see gusts in the 60s with wind 40 to 50 miles an hour. Friday the winds will continue to blow hard into the afternoon, then begin to back off.
Saturday through Tuesday, we begin to go back to normal.
It is going to be an interesting 48 hours starting tonight through Friday.
Power outages and chances of wild fires will be watched closely. For us in SB, no real affect from all of this. Temps remain in the 70s during the day and 50s at night.
We will just call SB a slice of Heaven ….
Oh speaking of, remember in my forecast yesterday, I was talking about how many days until the holidays and the birth of Cooper.
Guess who arrived a week early… yep, Cooper 6# 9 oz baby girl 👧 Cooper Hu Martin.
My friends to the south, beware of the winds.
10/08/19
By Jack Martin on Oct 08, 2019 at 02:53 PM
Good Tuesday Morning,
October is alway an interesting month for weather. Summer patterns begin to change and we start to see quite a fluctuation in the forecast. This week is no different.
A cold low pressure system in Canada is pushing into Washington. This is going to bring cooler days today and Wednesday.
https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/nepac/h5-loop-wv.html
Also, Thursday we will see our first strong Santa Ana wind event for the season.
Mountains will see 50 to 60 mile an hour winds in Ventura and to the south.
Ventura south coastal areas and foothills will see 30 to 40 mile an hour winds.
For us in Santa Barbara, no winds. We will stay nice with 70s. The valleys, however will see some cold temps overnight.
Winds will roll into Friday, then begin to calm down Saturday. Then seasonable weather into the weekend.
Where there still is no rain in sight, the pattern is changing.
The big wind event will likely cause SCE to shut off power in areas. ‘’ I guess this will be the new normal ‘’ ( Ventura and south )
Enjoy the fun !! The night time temps are really cooling off along with short days of sunlight.
78 days till Christmas, 44 days till thanksgiving, and 7 days till Cooper is born 😊
10/04/19
Good Friday morning,
October has arrived and also Santa Ana season.
We will be influenced by off shore flow and a weak Santa Ana wind event this weekend.
The real result will be temps warning into the 80s and 90s in some locations.
It will be a great late summer weekend for all that love warm and sunny weather.
Winds will blow Saturday and Sunday for the northeast at around 10 to 25 miles an hour. This will affect southern Santa Ana wind prone areas.
For SB to Gaviota there will be some northwest winds today into tonight, but mild.
Of course the weekend is going to be fantastic, for all outdoor activities.
https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/nepac/h5-loop-wv.html
Next week through Wednesday will be uneventful, but nice weather all in all.
Thursday and into the weekend, there is chatter about a stronger Santa Ana wind event.
It could blow quite hard in areas and the temp shoot way up.
Stay tuned, and enjoy a great weekend.
Here is what is happening in SB area this weekend:
10/03/19
Good Thursday morning and my Dad’s 87th birthday.
Today we are looking to have onshore flow return with cooler temps as a weak front rides over us.
https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/nepac/h5-loop-wv.html
Tonight we will have some weak sundowner winds with Gaviota and Goleta seeing 15 to 30 mile an hour winds.
Friday, high pressure builds in again and off shore will occur. We will begin a warm up.
Saturday looks like a mild Santa Ana wind event will occur in areas Ventura and south. This will also warm the air bringing temps above normal.
Sunday through Wednesday, expect great sunny and seasonable weather in the 70s and low 80s.
No excitement, just great California’s weather.
10/02/19
Good Wednesday October the 2nd. It is a new month with typical fall weather.
It is starting out very cool in the Santa Ynez mountains with 36 degrees, 53 in SB.
This is very typical as the air cools at night and days become shorter. So far this week we have had perfect weather, with the exception of cooler mornings. Off shore winds will come into play today and temps will warm up, especially in Santa Ana wind areas.
Nice weather the rest of the week with highs in the low 80s and sunny skies through the weekend. Just perfect weather. Just some wind today and Saturday in those Santa Ana wind areas, Ventura and south. SB calm and perfect.
https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-119.66720581054689&lat=34.44372494068891#.XZStl8plCfA
Enjoy the great week and weekend. October I think is the best month in Southern California.